It’s one thing to talk about how to leverage new social platforms to do business better. It’s another to talk about shifting business models to adapt to the current state of the web.
I think we’re doing well to address the former. My RSS reader is brimming with shining examples of how to engage, execute and measure social media tactics. But the critical conversation that I don’t hear as much about (and maybe it’s because I’m looking in the wrong places) is about how to shift our business modles themselves to better fit into a world where networks are no longer the exception but the norm.
Capitalism hasn’t changed
There is a common denominator in a capitalist economy:
No matter of how we structure our business models, our end goal is often the same. As Mark Schaefer recently pointed out, both in a post and in my interview with him: although the way we’re doing business is changing, we’re still “trying to more to more people for more money more often.”
I don’t think social business changes that.
I’ve argued that in the future, connection may be more important the products as we embrace social business models. According to Stowe Boyd, these soical business models will not simply fix what’s broken, but will be a complete departure and replacement of the old way of doing business:
In the final analysis, this seems like yet another example of paradigm change. Kuhn [link mine], in The Structure Of Scientific Revolutions, detailed the research that demonstrates that schools of thought fail and are replaced by revolutionary viewpoints exactly when the old theories cannot explain what is happening in new research.
The ad barrier
I think this paradigm change should start with how we think about the ad-based business model. It’s no secret that newspaper and magazine revenues are down. Just as a snapshot, business magazine ad revenue in 2009 was down as much as 46% for some tiles (Inc. to be exact).
Although online advertising has made a bit of a comeback, it’s time to see the writing on the wall: in an online environment driven by networks, only a few (Google, Facebook, YouTube) stand to make significant gains with ads.
This of course is not a novel suggestion. Earlier this month, venture capitalist and potty-mouth Dave McClure called all who are reliant on ad-based online business models “lazy, ad-happy, Web-Tards with crappy ROI.”
The ad business model assumes that you will create a frequent-use product (Google, Facebook, YouTube) that will drive some insane amount of traffic.
But as wetoku co-founder David Lee points out, even if you create a product that can be used frequently and scale quickly, “Chacnces are, your product and your company sucks (if we use Twitter, Facebook or YouTube as the standard of non-web-tardism).”
Not everyone wants your product
Which means we have to settle for a smaller number of people using our products.
Which means ads simply aren’t going to cut it.
Which means we have to get people to pay for our products in the first place.
In his rant on web-tardism, McClure points to an excellent article on the penny gap: the reality that it’s much harder to get consumers to pay one penny for what you’re offering than it is to convince them that your product is worth $5 instead of $1.
Place your focus on closing the penny gap
Given that an ad-based model for online revenue probably won’t work for your business, and given that there are relatively few people who actually want to use your product, I think we should start talking about how to aquire new customers at the minimum possible cost (instead of spending all our time talking about effective social communication and measurement).
I’m not just talking about building trust via social networks.
What I mean is, we need to think about how people share information via networks in order to structure out business models around them.
Sure there’s the freemium model, but that has its limitations. What if you can’t convert free customers to paid customers?
What about structuring our business models like Cory Doctorow who makes a boat load of money, even though he gives away his the exact same content of his books online? (Doctorow’s model isn’t really freemium, it’s more like just plain free.)
Or what about cutting out free altogether?
What’s your take?
How do you see the future structure of business models?
Will we see an increase in subscriptions and transactions (and less ads) as McClure claims?
Will freemium replace ads as the defacto business online business model?
Will something else take it’s place?
If you have an opinion. please share it. Let’s continue this critically essential conversation.
-Andrew
Image credit: A. Drauglis Furnituremaker on Ficker; see original for copyright info
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